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20th 620
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Breakouts
for Nov 11th: Although the markets had a sterling
day - I have decided to focus on current Breakout plays which
had made bullish moves. I remain concerned Thursday's buying
had little to do with shrewd investing. The first pick, CL,
breached near term resistance at $53.41, but still has larger
resistance at $53.81 to break. The company had released earnings on
November 1st which were $18m up on the same quarter last year.
The heavy volume selling which followed failed to break support
(hence the distribution pattern in on-balance-volume); instead
prices reversed
to force a test of resistance. If markets can maintain their
momentum we could see a breakout early next week. Thursday's
close completed a bullish three
white soldier candlestick
combination. Four year resistance lurks at $57; an attempt
in 2003 to break this failed - will 2005 be any better? The
play remains similar to that of July
22nd. The second pick, POS, has
developed a small handle at $27 resistance. The stock featured
in late October as
part of a near term base breakout; a larger base covering
most of 2005 is on the verge of been broken
if prices push through the narrow
sideways consolidation in existence now. A move to $28.00
will be enough for a double top breakout on the point-n-figure
chart. Earnings had
been reported before the initial breakout. The stock sports
excellent technical strength; most notably a surging MACD
trigger line. Stock just needs volume. The third pick, MEDI,
has been a frequent player to this site. The stock most recently
featured for October 26th. There
are some bearish concerns creeping in; [1] declining volume
into rising prices points to an increasing lack of demand,
and [2] a potential bearish divergence in the MACD trigger
line - although this is offset somewhat by the 'buy' trigger.
The Motley Fool had good things to say about the
company most recently.
November's micro-handle does provide traders and investors
with a point to raise stops, or place stops if looking to
buy. The point-n-figure chart shows an ascending triple top
breakout from November 2nd with a modest price target of $41;
a test of $50 should be possible here.
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