If you are interested in a system which covers only a handful of stocks, charges only for profitable months, delivers trades via email or mobile phone in real time and is verified by a third party - then my actively managed portfolio is the system for you. System subscribers will have the option of receiving my newsletter at no additional cost.

General notice on Breakout stocks: I will be restricting my free picks to those previously provided to my Subscribers first. My blog will become my primary source of free stock picks. Subscribers to my newsletter (subscribe by filling out a payment scheme in the right-hand blue box) will receive regular stock picks at least four times a week via the newsletter. Subscribers to my trading porftolio will receive real-time trade signals. In addition, subscribers to my Collective2 portfolio will have the option to receive the newsletter at no additional cost. The monthly subscription for the Collective2 portfolio is $19.95, charged during profitable months only.

Breakouts for May 18th: The first pick, SJM, is on its fourth feature as a Breakout pick having previously featured for March 29th, April 11th and May 4th. The stock has continued to exhibit good technical strength with an excellent support test (and potential 'buy' trigger) in the MACD trigger line. Bullish trend strength is rising [+DI; ADX > 20] and on-balance-volume is just shy of confirming Thursday's breakout with a resistance breakout of its own. The stock was mentioned in an article featured on the Motley Fool entitled "The Ultimate Buy Signal" (as it pertained to small cap stocks, not J.M. Smucker per se). The point-n-figure chart hasn't changed from its February 16th ascending triple top breakout and target of $62. The second pick, RAVN, was one of two fresh breakouts from Thursday's scans. The stock cleared $30.61 resistance after reporting Q1 earnings. The fundamental trigger was supported by a number of technical changes; notably a MACD trigger 'buy', a new reaction high in bullish trend strength [+DI; but ADX < 20, so bullish trend not yet confirmed], and a breakout in on-balance-volume. The stock also snuck in a barely visible "Golden Cross" in its 50-day and 200-day MAs mid-April. Watch for a close above $32 on Friday as this would confirm a double bottom at $25.62/$25.36 evident in the weekly chart shaped over the last 12-months. The projected target from this pattern is $39 which closely approximates the 2006 high for the stock around $42. The point-n-figure chart target of $43 comes from Thursday's double top breakout. My target is derived on an assumed follow through break from $42. The third pick, TWI, is a follow the trend play. The stock continued an advance beyond $29.19 resistance after announcing the production of new giant mining tires. The move was supported by a sharp breakout in on-balance-volume and a fresh MACD 'buy' trigger. The point-n-figure chart has surpassed its target of $26.50 and is looking stretched with a long upward tail from January 19th's ascending triple top breakout. However, volume over the last three days has been excellent with buyers killing an attempt by bears to drive it down. Trail a stop along the 50-day MA and/or the supporting trendline I have drawn to protect profits and allow the stock room to move.

Back to top

For those who prefer to set their own price targets the table opposite represents the frequency for a given % return (taken from maximum highs) assuming a fill at at the stated "Buy" price on the open (i.e. the prior days close). The return per trade from 5% risk is typical of what my subscribers can expect from their picks. The return per trade from 10% risk is what one can expect from my free stock picks. Returns will be higher on fills below my "Buy" price

Back to top

96% of featured stocks turn a profit greater than or equal to break even, assuming a fill at the prior day's close. 91% of featured stocks return a profit of 1% or more assuming a fill at the prior's day close; 78% of picks return a profit of 2% or more. 92% of featured plays are completed within a 6-month time frame. Stocks which are still in play beyond 6-months are usually experiencing strong rallies. Returns will be higher on fills below my "Buy" price

Buy	Stop	Target	Support	Resistance	Risk:Reward	Yield
$29.98	$27.89	$41.23	$29.19	none	5.4	0.10

Back to top

Disclaimer

The information found on the Fallond Stock Picks Inc. website (www.fallondpicks.com) has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. Accordingly, investors should not act on any information in this site without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by Fallond Stock Picks Inc. or any of its employees, Fallond Stock Picks Inc. makes no representations or warranties or takes any responsibility as to the accuracy of completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. accepts no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct or consequential loss of any kind arising out of the use of the information provided on this website, or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice. Fallond Stock Picks Inc., or their respective affiliates or their officers, directors, analysts, or employees may have positions in securities referred to herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities mentioned herein. This document does not purport to be a complete description of the securities market or developments to which reference is made. There may be instances when fundamental, technical, and quantitative opinions may not be in concert. There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. and their affiliates make no representation that the companies which issue securities which are the subject of their research reports are subject to, or in compliance with certain informational reporting requirements imposed by the Securities Exchange act of 1934. Sales of securities or services covered in any report or on the web site may be made in only those jurisdictions where such securities or services and Fallond Stock Picks Inc. are qualified for solicitation. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. does not warrant, represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any of the information, content, advertisements, or Third Party Sites and Content (as defined below) (collectively, the "Materials") contained on, distributed through, or linked, downloaded or accessed from Fallondpicks.com, nor the quality of any products, information, or other materials displayed, purchased, or obtained by you as a result of an advertisement or any other information or offer on or in connection with Fallond Stock Picks Inc. You acknowledge that any use of or reliance upon any Materials shall be at your sole risk. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. reserves the right, in its sole discretion and without any obligation, to make modifications to any portion of the Fallondpicks.com web site or publications at any time. You acknowledge and agree that you bear responsibility for your own investment research and investment decisions, and that Fallond Stock Picks Inc. shall not be held liable by you or any others for any decision made or action taken by you or others based upon reliance on or use of information or materials obtained or accessed through use of Fallondpicks.com. Prior to any transaction in securities, you should consult with a qualified professional securities or financial advisor.

Copyright 2004-2007 Fallondpicks.com