| 
|
Breakouts
for Mar 28th: Still
a poor environment for breakouts - so exercise caution in
the following selections. The first pick, DRI,
reported strong Q3 earnings.
The stock gapped up on heavy volume, closing at new all time
highs. The projected base move is $44.00, but I have set a
price target below psychological $40 resistance. On-balance-volume
is at new highs although the MACD trigger line still struggles
to regain the bullish zero line. GTC buy orders into the gap
look the best bet here given the mixed technical picture.
The second pick, NUCO, broke from
a 5-month base on heavy volume. Given the rapid ascent off
$22.00 lows look for a retracement to $24.40-$25.10 to
buy, or add shares. The company had announced a public offering
of 4.4m shares
at $24.16 a share. Thursday broke an ascending triple top
breakout on March 24th with a preliminary price target of
$41.50. I have set my price target based on a projected base
move. The third pick, FRNT,
ended a 4-month decline on heavier volume closing above the 50- and 200-day
moving average. The
stock benefited from an analyst upgrade by
Goldman Sachs. The point-n-figure chart shows the early phase
of a new rally with a bullish price objective of $25.50. This
form of breakout needs to be confirmed by a retest of the
prior lows ($8.06) so use GTC buy orders down to new support
to add, or buy shares. Technicals continue to improve with
new near term highs in on-balance-volume and a MACD trigger
line plus stochastics on the verge of moves into bullish territory.
| $30.00 |
$27.49
|
$39.14 |
$29.60 |
none |
3.6 |
A- |
Back
to top
| $26.08 |
$23.99 |
$34.14 |
$25.00 |
none |
3.9 |
B+ |
Back
to top
| $9.55 |
$8.49 |
$12.79 |
$8.15 |
$10.73 |
3.1 |
D+ |
Back
to top
 |
Date
|
Stock 1
|
Max gain
%
|
Stock 2
|
Max gain %
|
Stock 3
|
Max gain %
|
Date
|
Stock 1
|
Max gain %
|
Stock 2
|
Max gain %
|
Stock 3
|
Max gain %
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
11
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
45
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
35
|
Long
|
18
|
.
|
.
|
|
Long
|
39
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
26
|
Long
|
12
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
17
|
|
|
Long
|
32
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
35
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
34
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
36
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
20
|
|
Long
|
33
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Oct 27th
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
6
|
.
|
.
|
|
Long
|
94
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
78
|
.
|
.
|
|
Long
|
18
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
65
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Nov 5th
|
Long
|
40
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
37
|
|
|
Long
|
29
|
Long
|
29
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
48
|
Long
|
38
|
|
|
Long
|
19
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
21
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
18
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
35
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
24
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
40
|
Dec 7th
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
8
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
16
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
14
|
|
Long
|
28
|
Long
|
22
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
19
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
19
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
24
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
24
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
54
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
9
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
10
|
.
|
.
|
|
Long
|
31
|
Long
|
38
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
28
|
|
Long
|
16
|
.
|
.
|
Swing
|
21
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Swing
|
33
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
32
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Long
|
34
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
16
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
65
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
3
|
Long
|
22
|
|
|
Long
|
28
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
5
|
|
Long
|
33
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
24
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
9
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
8
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
12
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
7
|
|
|
Long
|
14
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
184
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
9
|
Short
|
4
|
|
|
Long
|
9
|
Long
|
7
|
Short
|
13
|
|
Swing
|
20
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
9
|
|
|
Long
|
4
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
9
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
4
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
11
|
Long
|
7
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
9
|
|
|
Long
|
4
|
Long
|
2
|
.
|
.
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
10
|
|
|
Long
|
14
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
15
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
13
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
6
|
.
|
.
|
|
Short
|
10
|
Short
|
5
|
Short
|
2
|
|
|
Short
|
9
|
Short
|
5
|
.
|
.
|
|
Short
|
2
|
.
|
.
|
Short
|
3
|
|
|
Long
|
3
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
|
Short
|
6
|
Short
|
2
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
Short
|
3
|
Short
|
4
|
Long
|
3
|
|
Long
|
7
|
Long
|
13
|
.
|
.
|
|
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
Long
|
5
|
|
Long
|
7
|
Long
|
17
|
Long
|
0
|
|
|
Short
|
1
|
Long
|
1
|
Long
|
0
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
.
|
 |
| TYPICAL RISK |
6% |
AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS |
74% |
AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS |
7% |
 |
| TYPICAL RISK |
11% |
AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS |
65% |
AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS |
8% |
"IBD"
refers to Investors Business Daily
|
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|
Prior
breakout candidates: Breakout
home,
1Feb06,
2Feb06,
3Feb06,
6Feb06,
7Feb06,
8Feb06,
9Feb06,
10Feb06,
13Feb06,
14Feb06,
15Feb06,
16Feb06,
17Feb06,
22Feb06,
23Feb06,
24Feb06,
27Feb06,
28Feb06,
1Mar06,
2Mar06,
3Mar06,
6Mar06,
7Mar06,
8Mar06,
9Mar06,
10Mar06,
14Mar06,
15Mar06,
16Mar06,
17Mar06,
20Mar06,
22Mar06,
23Mar06,
27Mar06,
29Mar06,
30Mar06,
31Mar06,
3Apr06,
4Apr06,
5Apr06,
6Apr06,
7Apr06,
10Apr06,
11Apr06,
12Apr06,
13Apr06,
17Apr06,
18Apr06,
19Apr06,
20Apr06,
21Apr06,
24Apr06,
25Apr06,
26Apr06,
1May06,
2May06,
3May06,
4May06,
5May06,
8May06,
9May06,
10May06,
11May06,
15May06,
16May06,
17May06,
19May06,
22May06,
23May06,
24May06,
25May06,
26May06,
30May06,
1Jun06,
2Jun06,
5Jun06,
6Jun06,
8Jun06,
12Jun06,
15Jun06,
16Jun06,
19Jun06,
26Jun06,
27Jun06,
28Jun06,
30Jun06,
3July06,
6July06,
7July06,
11July06,
12July06,
13July06,
14July06,
17July06,
18July06,
19July06,
20July06,
21July06,
24July06,
25July06,
26July06,
27July06,
28July06,
31July06,
1Aug06,
2Aug06,
3Aug06,
4Aug06,
8Aug06,
9Aug06,
10Aug06,
14Aug06,
15Aug06,
16Aug06,
25Aug06,
28Aug06,
29Aug06,
30Aug06,
31Aug06,
1Sep06,
5Sep06,
6Sep06,
8Sep06,
11Sep06,
12Sep06,
14Sep06,
15Sep06,
18Sep06,
19Sep06,
20Sep06,
22Sep06,
25Sep06,
26Sep06,
27Sep06,
28Sep06,
29Sep06,
2Oct06,
3Oct06,
4Oct06,
6Oct06,
9Oct06,
10Oct06,
11Oct06,
13Oct06,
16Oct06,
17Oct06,
18Oct06,
19Oct06,
20Oct06,
23Oct06,
24Oct06,
25Oct06,
27Oct06,
30Oct06,
31Oct06,
8Nov06,
9Nov06,
10Nov06,
13Nov06,
14Nov06,
15Nov06,
16Nov06,
17Nov06,
20Nov06,
21Nov06,
22Nov06,
29Nov06,
4Dec06,
5Dec06,
6Dec06,
7Dec06,
12Dec06,
13Dec06, 15Dec06,
18Dec06,
21Dec06,
28Dec06,
4Jan07,
9Jan07,
11Jan07,
12Jan07,
16Jan07,
17Jan07,
18Jan07,
22Jan07,
24Jan07,
29Jan07,
31Jan07,
1Feb07,
2Feb07,
5Feb07,
8Feb07,
14Feb07,
15Feb07,
20Feb07,
26Feb07,
8Mar07,
|
| Biggest
gainers |
As
of Nov 12th 2006 |
Rank |
Stock |
Feature |
Gain |
Date |
| 1 |
|
Breakout |
186 |
|
| 2 |
|
Breakout |
165 |
|
| 3 |
|
Breakout |
131 |
|
| 4 |
|
Breakout |
105 |
|
| 5 |
|
Breakout |
93 |
|
| 6 |
|
Breakout |
77 |
|
| 7 |
|
Breakout |
77 |
|
| 8 |
|
Breakout |
74 |
|
| 9 |
|
Breakout |
74 |
|
| 10 |
|
Breakout |
73 |
|
| |
As
of Jan 10th 2007 |
Rank |
Stock |
Feature |
Loss |
Date |
| 1 |
|
Breakout |
35 |
|
| 2 |
|
Breakout |
35 |
|
| 3 |
|
Breakout |
32 |
|
| 4 |
|
Breakout |
32 |
|
| 5 |
|
Breakout |
32 |
|
| 6 |
|
Breakout |
30 |
|
| 7 |
|
Breakout |
27 |
|
| 8 |
|
Breakout |
27 |
|
| 9 |
|
Breakout |
27 |
|
|
10 |
|
Breakout |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
  |
 |
|
|