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Breakouts for Mar 11th: A poor selection of breakout candidates reflecting the lack of leadership in the market, cream of the crop were; The first pick, ADRX, ended Thursday above two key areas, [1] the 200-day MA, and [2] $23.28 resistance. The generic drug company reported a 33% jump in Q4 profit on a day when fellow generic drug producer HITK reported a 58% increase in EPS for Q3. Supporting the move in price were new highs in on-balance-volume. The MACD trigger line is back above the bullish zero line and slow stochastics are overbought. The stock is still riding a double top breakout on the point-n-figure chart from Dec 7th with a preliminary price target of $38.50. I have set the price target based on a projected move from the last reaction low of $14.75. The second pick, HIBB, closed at new highs as the retailer reported a 26% gain in Q4 profits. The projected target of $52.50 is part of a double top breakout from the point-n-figure chart. But I have based the current price target from a projected move off the lows of the 'V' bottom (see weekly chart). However, the picture is not all rosy. A bearish divergence in the MACD trigger line and slow stochastics suggests we are in the last phase of the rally. The "V" base recovery on the weekly chart following an extended rally is typical of blowout moves at the end of a run. Watch for small steps up, but big steps down. The third pick, RAD, is a base breakout play. The stock ended the day over dual resistance of $3.90 and $4.00, and over the 200-day moving average. The Fool.com ran an article on the company on Tuesday which may have contributed to some of the upward momentum. The break of resistance is supported by new near term highs in the MACD trigger line and on-balance-volume. The point-n-figure chart is congesting into a tight range - the next move will be significant. The price target is based on the next point of resistance on the weekly chart.

Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$23.81

$21.89

$31.14 $23.28 $24.00 3.8 D+

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Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$29.08 $26.57 $37.14 $29.00 none 3.2 A

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Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$4.03 $3.66 $5.11 $3.97 $5.50 2.9 E
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Date
Stock 1

Max gain %

Stock 2
Max gain %
Stock 3
Max gain %
Date
Stock 1
Max gain %
Stock 2
Max gain %
Stock 3
Max gain %
.
.
Long
11
.
.
.
.
Long
45
.
.
Long
35
Long
18
.
.
Long
39
.
.
.
.
Long
26
Long
12
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
17
Long
32
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
35
.
.
Long
34
.
.
.
.
Long
36
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
20
Long
33
.
.
.
.
Oct 27th
.
.
Long
6
.
.
Long
94
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
78
.
.
Long
18
.
.
.
.
Long
65
.
.
.
.
Nov 5th
Long
40
.
.
Long
37
Long
29
Long
29
.
.
.
.
Long
48
Long
38
Long
19
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
21
.
.
Long
18
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
35
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
24
.
.
.
.
Long
40
Dec 7th
.
.
.
.
Long
8
.
.
.
.
Long
16
.
.
.
.
Long
14
Long
28
Long
22
.
.
.
.
Long
19
.
.
.
.
Long
19
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
24
.
.
Long
24
.
.
Long
54
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
9
.
.
.
.
Long
10
.
.
Long
31
Long
38
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
28
Long
16
.
.
Swing
21
.
.
Swing
33
.
.
.
.
Long
32
.
.
Long
34
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
16
.
.
Long
65
.
.
.
.
Long
3
Long
22
Long
28
.
.
Short
5
Long
33
.
.
Short
24
.
.
Short
9
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
8
.
.
Short
12
.
.
.
.
.
.
Short
7
Long
14
.
.
Long
184
.
.
Long
9
Short
4
Long
9
Long
7
Short
13
Swing
20
.
.
Long
9
Long
4
.
.
Long
9
.
.
.
.
Long
4
.
.
Long
11
Long
7
.
.
.
.
Long
9
Long
4
Long
2
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
10
Long
14
.
.
Long
15
.
.
.
.
Long
13
.
.
Long
6
.
.
Short
10
Short
5
Short
2
Short
9
Short
5
.
.
Short
2
.
.
Short
3
Long
3
.
.
.
.
Short
6
Short
2
.
.
Short
3
Short
4
Long
3
Long
7
Long
13
.
.
.
.
.
.
Long
5
Long
7
Long
17
Long
0
Short
1
Long
1
Long
0
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TYPICAL RISK 6% AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS 74% AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS 7%
TYPICAL RISK 11% AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS 65% AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS 8%

"IBD" refers to Investors Business Daily

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Fallond Trade history

Prior breakout candidates: Breakout home, 1Feb06, 2Feb06, 3Feb06, 6Feb06, 7Feb06, 8Feb06, 9Feb06, 10Feb06, 13Feb06, 14Feb06, 15Feb06, 16Feb06, 17Feb06, 22Feb06, 23Feb06, 24Feb06, 27Feb06, 28Feb06, 1Mar06, 2Mar06, 3Mar06, 6Mar06, 7Mar06, 8Mar06, 9Mar06, 10Mar06, 14Mar06, 15Mar06, 16Mar06, 17Mar06, 20Mar06, 22Mar06, 23Mar06, 27Mar06, 29Mar06, 30Mar06, 31Mar06, 3Apr06, 4Apr06, 5Apr06, 6Apr06, 7Apr06, 10Apr06, 11Apr06, 12Apr06, 13Apr06, 17Apr06, 18Apr06, 19Apr06, 20Apr06, 21Apr06, 24Apr06, 25Apr06, 26Apr06, 1May06, 2May06, 3May06, 4May06, 5May06, 8May06, 9May06, 10May06, 11May06, 15May06, 16May06, 17May06, 19May06, 22May06, 23May06, 24May06, 25May06, 26May06, 30May06, 1Jun06, 2Jun06, 5Jun06, 6Jun06, 8Jun06, 12Jun06, 15Jun06, 16Jun06, 19Jun06, 26Jun06, 27Jun06, 28Jun06, 30Jun06, 3July06, 6July06, 7July06, 11July06, 12July06, 13July06, 14July06, 17July06, 18July06, 19July06, 20July06, 21July06, 24July06, 25July06, 26July06, 27July06, 28July06, 31July06, 1Aug06, 2Aug06, 3Aug06, 4Aug06, 8Aug06, 9Aug06, 10Aug06, 14Aug06, 15Aug06, 16Aug06, 25Aug06, 28Aug06, 29Aug06, 30Aug06, 31Aug06, 1Sep06, 5Sep06, 6Sep06, 8Sep06, 11Sep06, 12Sep06, 14Sep06, 15Sep06, 18Sep06, 19Sep06, 20Sep06, 22Sep06, 25Sep06, 26Sep06, 27Sep06, 28Sep06, 29Sep06, 2Oct06, 3Oct06, 4Oct06, 6Oct06, 9Oct06, 10Oct06, 11Oct06, 13Oct06, 16Oct06, 17Oct06, 18Oct06, 19Oct06, 20Oct06, 23Oct06, 24Oct06, 25Oct06, 27Oct06, 30Oct06, 31Oct06, 8Nov06, 9Nov06, 10Nov06, 13Nov06, 14Nov06, 15Nov06, 16Nov06, 17Nov06, 20Nov06, 21Nov06, 22Nov06, 29Nov06, 4Dec06, 5Dec06, 6Dec06, 7Dec06, 12Dec06, 13Dec06, 15Dec06, 18Dec06, 21Dec06, 28Dec06, 4Jan07, 9Jan07, 11Jan07, 12Jan07, 16Jan07, 17Jan07, 18Jan07, 22Jan07, 24Jan07, 29Jan07, 31Jan07, 1Feb07, 2Feb07, 5Feb07, 8Feb07, 14Feb07, 15Feb07, 20Feb07, 26Feb07, 8Mar07,

Biggest gainers
As of Nov 12th 2006
Rank
Stock
Feature
Gain
Date
1
Breakout
186
2
Breakout
165
3
Breakout
131
4
Breakout
105
5
Breakout
93
6
Breakout
77
7
Breakout
77
8
Breakout
74
9
Breakout
74
10
Breakout
73

Biggest losers

As of Jan 10th 2007
Rank
Stock
Feature
Loss
Date
1
Breakout
35
2
Breakout
35
3
Breakout
32
4
Breakout
32
5
Breakout
32
6
Breakout
30
7
Breakout
27
8
Breakout
27
9
Breakout
27
10
Breakout
26
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