Web fallondpicks.com

Breakouts for Feb 4th: The first pick, LRW, featured as a breakout on June 25th and as a gold member play from September 29th. The company posted Q4 earnings which were better than expected. Stop placement is a little tricky as the stock has risen without a substantial pullback which (when it comes) could retrace below $14.00. The stock has an excellent point-n-figure chart with an upside target of $25.00 with no overhead resistance. The second pick, DG, reported a 5.1% rise in same store sales. This completed a bullish ascending triangle. Triangle breakouts tend to mark the final phase of the move, so a volume loss of $21.29 would be good reason to sell or go short (for the purpose of my analysis I have set a lower stop as the gaps marked with the yellow circles should provide some support). The two small gaps are potential buy areas on a pullback, although $21.29 support should be strong - I have marked where I think GTC buy orders should go. Long term buyers should wait for a move to $24.00 as this would mark new all-time highs. The third pick is NTE, is a base breakout play. The company was upgraded by Kaufman Bros in Thursday's pre-market. The stock is $0.50 shy of a double top breakout on the point-n-figure chart which would negate the current downward price target of $14.50. GTC buy orders to $19.50 should be good for fills over the coming days. Technical strength is reasonable with new near term highs in the MACD trigger line and slow stochastics, including a resistance break in on-balance-volume. I have set the price target at Jan 04 highs.

Back to top

Back to top

Back to top

Date	Stock 1	Max gain %	Stock 2	Max gain %	Stock 3	Max gain %	Date	Stock 1	Max gain %	Stock 2	Max gain %	Stock 3	Max gain %
Aug 12th	.	.	Long	11	.	.	Sep 7th	.	.	Long	45	.	.
Sep 24th	Long	35	Long	18	.	.	Sep 29th	Long	39	.	.	.	.
Sep 30th	Long	26	Long	12	.	.	Oct 12th	.	.	.	.	Long	17
Oct 13th	Long	32	.	.	.	.	Oct 14th	.	.	.	.	Long	35
Oct 15th	.	.	Long	34	.	.	Oct 18th	.	.	Long	36	.	.
Oct 21st	.	.	.	.	Long	20	Oct 26th	Long	33	.	.	.	.
Oct 27th	.	.	Long	6	.	.	Oct 29th	Long	94	.	.	.	.
Nov 1st	.	.	Long	78	.	.	Nov 3rd	Long	18	.	.	.	.
Nov 4th	Long	65	.	.	.	.	Nov 5th	Long	40	.	.	Long	37
Nov 9th	Long	29	Long	29	.	.	Nov 10th	.	.	Long	48	Long	38
Nov 15th	Long	19	.	.	.	.	Nov 18th	.	.	Long	21	.	.
Nov 23rd	Long	18	.	.	.	.	Dec 1st	.	.	Long	35	.	.
Dec 3rd	.	.	.	.	Long	24	Dec 6th	.	.	.	.	Long	40
Dec 7th	.	.	.	.	Long	8	Dec 8th	.	.	.	.	Long	16
Dec 10th	.	.	.	.	Long	14	Dec 13th	Long	28	Long	22	.	.
Dec 14th	.	.	Long	19	.	.	Dec 15th	.	.	Long	19	.	.
Dec 16th	.	.	.	.	Long	24	Dec 17th	.	.	Long	24	.	.
Dec 20th	Long	54	.	.	.	.	Dec 21st	.	.	Long	9	.	.
Jan 7th	.	.	Long	10	.	.	Jan 11th	Long	31	Long	38	.	.
Jan 12th	.	.	.	.	Long	28	Jan 13th	Long	16	.	.	Swing	21
Jan 20th	.	.	Swing	33	.	.	Jan 21st	.	.	Long	32	.	.
Jan 24th	Long	34	.	.	.	.	Jan 25th	.	.	.	.	Long	16
Jan 27th	.	.	Long	65	.	.	Jan 31st	.	.	Long	3	Long	22
Feb 3rd	Long	28	.	.	Short	5	Feb 4th	Long	33	.	.	Short	24
Feb 8th	.	.	Short	9	.	.	Feb 9th	.	.	.	.	Long	8
Feb 10th	.	.	Short	12	.	.	Feb 11th	.	.	.	.	Short	7
Feb 15th	Long	14	.	.	Long	184	Feb 17th	.	.	Long	9	Short	4
Feb 22nd	Long	9	Long	7	Short	13	Feb 23rd	Swing	20	.	.	Long	9
Feb 24th	Long	4	.	.	Long	9	Feb 25th	.	.	.	.	Long	4
Feb 28th	.	.	Long	11	Long	7	Mar 1st	.	.	.	.	Long	9
Mar 2nd	Long	4	Long	2	.	.	Mar 3rd	.	.	.	.	Long	10
Mar 4th	Long	14	.	.	Long	15	Mar 8th	.	.	.	.	Long	13
Mar 9th	.	.	Long	6	.	.	Mar 10th	Short	10	Short	5	Short	2
Mar 11th	Short	9	Short	5	.	.	Mar 14th	Short	2	.	.	Short	3
Mar 15th	Long	3	.	.	.	.	Mar 16th	Short	6	Short	2	.	.
Mar 17th	Short	3	Short	4	Long	3	Mar 21st	Long	7	Long	13	.	.
Mar 22nd	.	.	.	.	Long	5	Mar 23rd	Long	7	Long	17	Long	0
Mar 24th	Short	1	Long	1	Long	0	.	.	.	.	.	.	.
.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.
TYPICAL RISK		6%	AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS					74%	AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS				7%
TYPICAL RISK		11%	AVG MAX GAIN OF WINNERS					65%	AVG MAX GAIN OF LOSERS				8%

"IBD" refers to Investors Business Daily

PREMIUM FALLOND

If you wish to learn how my service could be of use to you please download my How to? and sample newsletter.

Sample returns:

In order to subscribe, please sign up for a payment plan

User id: member email address password: "gold"

Allow 24 hours to set up web site access. Please be aware in some instances the newsletter can be spam filtered; please allow emails from fallond@yahoo.com and fallond@fallondpicks.com.

Subscription rates

1-Year for $119 (save 33%)

6-months for $80 (save 11%)

$14.99 per month by credit card

Support Emerging Entrepreneurs

$25 of every Annual Subscription Sold is routed through Kiva.org. See the loans members have supported. Sign up today and become a supporter