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Breakouts for Feb 1st: There were over 70 stocks on my breakout scan but very few of them were at stages which made them attractive buys. So once again I will be featuring current plays and looking to ride these as high as possible by using stops. The first pick, WIRE, I am using as a cautionary tale. The stock has just nicked a breakout and is ideally priced as a 'pivot buy' (if using Bill O'Neill's method) from Tuesday's close, with a stop price which is in excess of the recommended 7-8% but can easily be adjusted to suit. The stock still garners interest in the media, and carries a high Investors Business Daily rank. The chief concern for this breakout is the large bearish divergence in the MACD, supported by a weaker divergence in on-balance-volume. The weekly chart also shows major resistance at $28 dating back to 2004. But if it can break above $28 it would complete a 22-month long cup-and-handle pattern and bring $50 as a price target into range. For now, use the higher stop to protect the earlier positions from September and November and either: [1] look to add on a pullback to $26, or [2] Buy and/or add on a break of $28. The second pick, MCRI, has so far been mixed in its climb above $24 (former key resistance from late 2004/early 2005) with strong accumulation in the form of its rising on-balance-volume, but significantly lower volume averages from when it traded in late 2004. From a pure price perspective it should be good to test $50 - which is the measured move target from the lows of the 2005 base and a projected target from the point-n-figure target. It remains to be seen how the litigation annoucement released at 8pm Tuesday evening impacts the price. As a new breakout buy I would be hesitant here as it has emerged from a weak base; but I would use the higher stop to protect the November and December positions. The third pick, NAVG, inched a low volume breakout from its January base. The stock is a Subscriber pick from December 6th. Earnings are the big upcoming event, set for February 15th - but given the lack of PR (the last news from the company was released in November) one cannot expect substantial price moves. As with WIRE there is a lingering bearish divergence in the MACD trigger line and an on-balance-volume line in decline (=distribution). The stock still holds to its ascending triple top breakout from December 20th with a priec target of $49.

Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$27.16

$23.47

$37.11 $27.04 $28.00 2.7 A-

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Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$27.03 $24.87 $41.12 $26.35 none 6.5 A

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Buy Stop Target Support Resistance Risk:Reward IBD
$44.67 $43.11 $51.88 $44.64 none 4.6 B-

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"IBD" refers to Investors Business Daily

Disclaimer

The information found on the Fallond Stock Picks Inc. website (www.fallondpicks.com) has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. Accordingly, investors should not act on any information in this site without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. However, such information has not been verified by Fallond Stock Picks Inc. or any of its employees, Fallond Stock Picks Inc. makes no representations or warranties or takes any responsibility as to the accuracy of completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. accepts no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct or consequential loss of any kind arising out of the use of the information provided on this website, or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice. Fallond Stock Picks Inc., or their respective affiliates or their officers, directors, analysts, or employees may have positions in securities referred to herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities mentioned herein. This document does not purport to be a complete description of the securities market or developments to which reference is made. There may be instances when fundamental, technical, and quantitative opinions may not be in concert. There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. and their affiliates make no representation that the companies which issue securities which are the subject of their research reports are subject to, or in compliance with certain informational reporting requirements imposed by the Securities Exchange act of 1934. Sales of securities or services covered in any report or on the web site may be made in only those jurisdictions where such securities or services and Fallond Stock Picks Inc. are qualified for solicitation. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. does not warrant, represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any of the information, content, advertisements, or Third Party Sites and Content (as defined below) (collectively, the "Materials") contained on, distributed through, or linked, downloaded or accessed from Fallondpicks.com, nor the quality of any products, information, or other materials displayed, purchased, or obtained by you as a result of an advertisement or any other information or offer on or in connection with Fallond Stock Picks Inc. You acknowledge that any use of or reliance upon any Materials shall be at your sole risk. Fallond Stock Picks Inc. reserves the right, in its sole discretion and without any obligation, to make modifications to any portion of the Fallondpicks.com web site or publications at any time. You acknowledge and agree that you bear responsibility for your own investment research and investment decisions, and that Fallond Stock Picks Inc. shall not be held liable by you or any others for any decision made or action taken by you or others based upon reliance on or use of information or materials obtained or accessed through use of Fallondpicks.com. Prior to any transaction in securities, you should consult with a qualified professional securities or financial advisor.

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Fallond Trade history

Prior breakout candidates: Breakout home, 1May06, 2May06, 3May06, 4May06, 5May06, 8May06, 9May06, 10May06, 11May06, 15May06, 16May06, 17May06, 19May06, 22May06, 23May06, 24May06, 25May06, 26May06, 30May06, 1Jun06, 2Jun06, 5Jun06, 6Jun06, 8Jun06, 12Jun06, 15Jun06, 16Jun06, 19Jun06, 26Jun06, 27Jun06, 28Jun06, 30Jun06, 3July06, 6July06, 7July06, 11July06, 12July06, 13July06, 14July06, 17July06, 18July06, 19July06, 20July06, 21July06, 24July06, 25July06, 26July06, 27July06, 28July06, 31July06, 1Aug06, 2Aug06, 3Aug06, 4Aug06, 8Aug06, 9Aug06, 10Aug06, 14Aug06, 15Aug06, 16Aug06, 25Aug06, 28Aug06, 29Aug06, 30Aug06, 31Aug06, 1Sep06, 5Sep06, 6Sep06, 8Sep06, 11Sep06, 12Sep06, 14Sep06, 15Sep06, 18Sep06, 19Sep06, 20Sep06, 22Sep06, 25Sep06, 26Sep06, 27Sep06, 28Sep06, 29Sep06, 2Oct06, 3Oct06, 4Oct06, 6Oct06, 9Oct06, 10Oct06, 11Oct06, 13Oct06, 16Oct06, 17Oct06, 18Oct06, 19Oct06, 20Oct06, 23Oct06, 24Oct06, 25Oct06, 27Oct06, 30Oct06, 31Oct06, 8Nov06, 9Nov06, 10Nov06, 13Nov06, 14Nov06, 15Nov06, 16Nov06, 17Nov06, 20Nov06, 21Nov06, 22Nov06, 29Nov06, 4Dec06, 5Dec06, 6Dec06, 7Dec06, 12Dec06, 13Dec06, 15Dec06, 18Dec06, 21Dec06, 28Dec06, 4Jan07, 9Jan07, 11Jan07, 12Jan07, 16Jan07, 17Jan07, 18Jan07, 22Jan07, 24Jan07, 29Jan07, 31Jan07, 1Feb07, 2Feb07, 5Feb07, 8Feb07, 14Feb07, 15Feb07, 20Feb07, 26Feb07, 8Mar07, 12Mar07, 13Mar07, 14Mar07, 16Mar07, 21Mar07, 22Mar07, 29Mar07, 2Apr07, 3Apr07,

Biggest gainers
As of Nov 12th 2006
Rank
Stock
Feature
Gain
Date
1
Breakout
186
2
Breakout
165
3
Breakout
131
4
Breakout
105
5
Breakout
93
6
Breakout
77
7
Breakout
77
8
Breakout
74
9
Breakout
74
10
Breakout
73

Biggest losers

As of Jan 10th 2007
Rank
Stock
Feature
Loss
Date
1
Breakout
35
2
Breakout
35
3
Breakout
32
4
Breakout
32
5
Breakout
32
6
Breakout
30
7
Breakout
27
8
Breakout
27
9
Breakout
27
10
Breakout
26
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